A Escola das Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Martin Damm Jr.

Início: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)

Previsão 38.41%2.60odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.504%
Kelly -0.826%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.03%38.42%38.42%39.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.462.482.5742.55%40.68%40.32%38.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Martin Damm Jr. (Visitante)

Previsão 61.59%1.62odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -3.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.25%61.58%61.58%62.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.551.541.5968.03%64.71%64.94%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:50
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:50
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.06%E -0.810%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 16:59
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.06%E -0.810%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 17:49
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.22%E -1.28%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:35
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 22:40
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 18:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 07:30
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 18:20
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Betsson2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 07:30
NordicBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 07:29
DraftKings2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 09:50
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.52%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 17:35
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 07:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 07:30
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.67%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 12:10
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 18:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 17:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:49
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:09
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:33
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.98%E -3.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.98%E -3.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 12:10
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20