مدرسة الاحتمالات

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Martin Damm Jr.

البداية: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.41%2.60السعر العادل
EV -1.30%
الأفضلية -0.504%
Kelly -0.826%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.03%38.42%38.42%39.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.462.482.5742.55%40.68%40.32%38.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Martin Damm Jr. (الضيف)

التنبؤ 61.59%1.62السعر العادل
EV -2.07%
الأفضلية -1.30%
Kelly -3.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.25%61.58%61.58%62.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.551.541.5968.03%64.71%64.94%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:50
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:50
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.06%E -0.810%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 16:59
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.06%E -0.810%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 17:49
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.22%E -1.28%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:35
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 22:40
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 18:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 07:30
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 18:20
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Betsson2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 07:30
NordicBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 07:29
DraftKings2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 09:50
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.52%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 17:35
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 07:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 07:30
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.67%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 12:10
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 18:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 17:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:49
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:09
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:33
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.98%E -3.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.98%E -3.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 12:10
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20