Die Wettquotenschule

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Martin Damm Jr.

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Heim)

Prognose 38.41%2.60faire Quote
EV -1.30%
Vorteil -0.504%
Kelly -0.826%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.03%38.42%38.42%39.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.352.462.482.5742.55%40.68%40.32%38.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Martin Damm Jr. (Auswärts)

Prognose 61.59%1.62faire Quote
EV -2.07%
Vorteil -1.30%
Kelly -3.50%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.25%61.58%61.58%62.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.471.551.541.5968.03%64.71%64.94%62.89%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:50
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:50
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.06%E -0.810%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 16:59
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.06%E -0.810%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 17:49
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.22%E -1.28%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 17:35
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 22:40
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 18:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 07:30
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 18:20
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Betsson2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 07:30
NordicBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 07:29
DraftKings2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 09:50
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:10
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 12:09
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.52%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 17:35
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 07:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 07:30
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.67%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 12:10
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 18:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 17:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:49
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 19:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:09
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:33
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.98%E -3.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.98%E -3.79%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 12:10
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-04 18:20