Lingua:Italiano
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Martin Damm Jr.
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa)
Previsione 38.41%2.60quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.504%
Kelly -0.826%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.03%38.42%38.42%39.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.462.482.5742.55%40.68%40.32%38.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Martin Damm Jr. (Trasferta)
Previsione 61.59%1.62quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -3.50%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.25%61.58%61.58%62.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.551.541.5968.03%64.71%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa): 38.41%; Martin Damm Jr. (Trasferta): 61.59%. Per Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.60. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.57, con un valore atteso del -1.30%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.06%E -0.810%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.06%E -0.810%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.22%E -1.28%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 07:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 07:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 07:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.52%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 07:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 07:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.91%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.84%E -5.97%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.67%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.06%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.83%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.98%E -3.79%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.98%E -3.79%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.75%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |