StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur

Matchstart: 2026-03-09 18:16 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cameron Norrie (Hemma)

Prognos 19.77%5.06rättvist odds
EV +4.78%
Fördel +0.902%
Kelly +1.11%
Tillväxt +0.053%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.84%19.87%19.80%22.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.774.815.3025.00%20.97%20.79%18.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Borta)

Prognos 80.23%1.25rättvist odds
EV -2.12%
Fördel -1.74%
Kelly -9.63%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.22%80.13%80.20%82.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.131.171.171.2288.50%85.21%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cameron Norrie (Hemma): 19.77%; Alex de Minaur (Borta): 80.23%. För Cameron Norrie (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.06. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.78%E +0.902%K +1.11%G +0.053%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:15
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:11
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:04
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:14
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.13%E -0.638%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 18:15
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.13%E -0.638%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:15
NordicBet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 18:14
Betsson🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 18:14
Pinnacle🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 20.17%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.83%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-09 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 18:12
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 18:12
DraftKings🎯4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 18:14
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:07
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 18:14
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 18:15
GTbets🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 18:06
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:06
LeoVegas🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 18:15
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 18:11
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 18:15
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 18:14
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:06
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:05
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:11
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -20.92%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:11
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-03-09 18:15
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%1.9%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Novig5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%7.3%2026-03-09 18:15