A Escola das Odds

Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur

Início: 2026-03-09 18:16 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Previsão 19.77%5.06odd justa
EV +4.78%
Vantagem +0.902%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.84%19.87%19.80%22.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.774.815.3025.00%20.97%20.79%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex de Minaur (Visitante)

Previsão 80.23%1.25odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -9.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.22%80.13%80.20%82.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.171.171.2288.50%85.21%85.47%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.78%E +0.902%K +1.11%G +0.053%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:15
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:11
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:04
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:14
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.13%E -0.638%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 18:15
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.13%E -0.638%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:15
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 18:14
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 18:14
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 20.17%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.83%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-09 18:15
LowVig.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 18:12
BetOnline.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 18:12
DraftKings4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 18:14
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:07
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 18:15
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 18:14
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 18:15
GTbets4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 18:06
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:06
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 18:15
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 18:11
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 18:15
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 18:14
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:06
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:14
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:00
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:05
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:11
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 18:10
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -20.92%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:11
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-03-09 18:15
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%1.9%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Novig5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%7.3%2026-03-09 18:15