Lingua:Italiano
Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Cameron Norrie (Casa)
Previsione 19.77%5.06quota equa
EV +4.78%
Vantaggio +0.902%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescita +0.053%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.84%19.87%19.80%22.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.774.815.3025.00%20.97%20.79%18.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)
Previsione 80.23%1.25quota equa
EV -2.12%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -9.63%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.22%80.13%80.20%82.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.171.171.2288.50%85.21%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cameron Norrie (Casa): 19.77%; Alex de Minaur (Trasferta): 80.23%. Per Cameron Norrie (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.06. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.78%.
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.78%E +0.902%K +1.11%G +0.053% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 18:11 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.13%E -0.638%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.13%E -0.638%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 20.17%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.83%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 18:12 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 18:12 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 18:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 18:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 18:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 18:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -20.92%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-09 18:11 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |