مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur

البداية: 2026-03-09 18:16 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cameron Norrie (المضيف)

التنبؤ 19.77%5.06السعر العادل
EV +4.78%
الأفضلية +0.902%
Kelly +1.11%
النمو +0.053%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.84%19.87%19.80%22.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.774.815.3025.00%20.97%20.79%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alex de Minaur (الضيف)

التنبؤ 80.23%1.25السعر العادل
EV -2.12%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -9.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.22%80.13%80.20%82.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.171.171.2288.50%85.21%85.47%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.78%E +0.902%K +1.11%G +0.053%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.79%E +0.722%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:15
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:11
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:04
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:14
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.230%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -60.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.13%E -0.638%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 18:15
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.13%E -0.638%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:15
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 18:14
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.12%E -0.849%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 18:14
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 20.17%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.83%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-09 18:15
LowVig.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 18:12
BetOnline.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 18:12
DraftKings4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 18:14
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:07
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 18:15
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 18:14
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 18:15
GTbets4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 18:06
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:06
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 18:15
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 18:11
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 18:15
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.93%E -5.98%K -43.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 18:14
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:06
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:14
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:00
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.53%E -3.80%K -23.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:05
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.01%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:07
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:11
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 18:10
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -20.92%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:11
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-03-09 18:15
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%1.9%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Novig5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%7.3%2026-03-09 18:15