Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 29.46%3.39fair odd
EV +25.19%
Edge +5.93%
Kelly +7.75%
Growth +1.95%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%29.04%29.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.353.204.2535.71%29.82%31.25%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 70.54%1.42fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%70.96%70.64%77.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.321.331.4081.30%75.91%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 29.46%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 70.54%. For Brandon Nakashima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +25.19%E +5.93%K +7.75%G +1.95% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +23.72%E +5.65%K +7.41%G +1.76% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -13.23%E -10.76%K -57.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +21.07%E +5.13%K +6.77%G +1.43% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +19.01%E +4.70%K +6.25%G +1.19% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +19.01%E +4.70%K +6.25%G +1.19% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +18.12%E +4.52%K +6.02%G +1.09% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +17.83%E +4.46%K +5.94%G +1.06% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +16.35%E +4.14%K +5.54%G +0.907% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +15.47%E +3.95%K +5.30%G +0.820% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +14.88%E +3.82%K +5.13%G +0.764% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +13.41%E +3.48%K +4.70%G +0.631% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV +13.41%E +3.48%K +4.70%G +0.631% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +7.81%E +2.13%K +2.94%G +0.229% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +0.153%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 18:12 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -6.33%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -9.00%E -6.98%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.59%E -5.79%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -13.10%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.58%E -5.03%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.65%E -1.92%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.16%E -5.27%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Novig◎ | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:18 |