La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Brandon Nakashima v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Predicción 29.46%3.39momio equitativo
EV +25.19%
Ventaja +5.93%
Kelly +7.75%
Crecimiento +1.95%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.59%29.04%29.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.353.204.2535.71%29.82%31.25%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 70.54%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.885%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%70.96%70.64%77.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.231.321.331.4081.30%75.91%75.19%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +25.19%E +5.93%K +7.75%G +1.95% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +23.72%E +5.65%K +7.41%G +1.76% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -13.23%E -10.76%K -57.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| GTbets | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +21.07%E +5.13%K +6.77%G +1.43% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +19.01%E +4.70%K +6.25%G +1.19% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +19.01%E +4.70%K +6.25%G +1.19% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +18.12%E +4.52%K +6.02%G +1.09% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +17.83%E +4.46%K +5.94%G +1.06% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Bally Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +16.35%E +4.14%K +5.54%G +0.907% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +15.47%E +3.95%K +5.30%G +0.820% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +14.88%E +3.82%K +5.13%G +0.764% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +13.41%E +3.48%K +4.70%G +0.631% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV +13.41%E +3.48%K +4.70%G +0.631% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +7.81%E +2.13%K +2.94%G +0.229% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +0.153%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 18:12 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -6.33%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -9.00%E -6.98%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.59%E -5.79%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -13.10%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.58%E -5.03%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.65%E -1.92%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:18 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.16%E -5.27%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 18:19 |
| Novig | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:18 |