مدرسة الاحتمالات

Brandon Nakashima v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Brandon Nakashima (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.46%3.39السعر العادل
EV +25.19%
الأفضلية +5.93%
Kelly +7.75%
النمو +1.95%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.59%29.04%29.36%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.353.204.2535.71%29.82%31.25%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 70.54%1.42السعر العادل
EV -1.24%
الأفضلية -0.885%
Kelly -3.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.67%70.96%70.64%77.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.231.321.331.4081.30%75.91%75.19%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +25.19%E +5.93%K +7.75%G +1.95%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 18:05
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +23.72%E +5.65%K +7.41%G +1.76%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -13.23%E -10.76%K -57.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:00
GTbets4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +21.07%E +5.13%K +6.77%G +1.43%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:00
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +19.01%E +4.70%K +6.25%G +1.19%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:04
BetOnline.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +19.01%E +4.70%K +6.25%G +1.19%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:04
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +18.12%E +4.52%K +6.02%G +1.09%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 18:05
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +17.83%E +4.46%K +5.94%G +1.06%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:09
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +16.35%E +4.14%K +5.54%G +0.907%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:10
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +15.47%E +3.95%K +5.30%G +0.820%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 17:59
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +14.88%E +3.82%K +5.13%G +0.764%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:00
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +13.41%E +3.48%K +4.70%G +0.631%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:00
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV +13.41%E +3.48%K +4.70%G +0.631%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 18:00
Pinnacle3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +7.81%E +2.13%K +2.94%G +0.229%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 18:20
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:09
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:00
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:19
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:20
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:00
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +0.153%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 18:12
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:14
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:19
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:19
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:19
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:19
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:20
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:19
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:19
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:20
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:19
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -6.33%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -9.00%E -6.98%K -31.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 18:19
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:20
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 18:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:20
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:19
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:20
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:20
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:20
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.59%E -5.79%K -24.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:19
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:19
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -13.10%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:20
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.58%E -5.03%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.65%E -1.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:18
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.16%E -5.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 18:19
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:20
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-08 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-03-08 18:20
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-03-08 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-03-08 18:19
Novig3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%6.5%2026-03-08 18:18