A Escola das Odds

Brandon Nakashima v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Previsão 29.46%3.39odd justa
EV +25.19%
Vantagem +5.93%
Kelly +7.75%
Crescimento +1.95%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.59%29.04%29.36%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.353.204.2535.71%29.82%31.25%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 70.54%1.42odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.885%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.67%70.96%70.64%77.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.231.321.331.4081.30%75.91%75.19%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +25.19%E +5.93%K +7.75%G +1.95%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 18:05
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +23.72%E +5.65%K +7.41%G +1.76%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -13.23%E -10.76%K -57.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:00
GTbets4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +21.07%E +5.13%K +6.77%G +1.43%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:00
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +19.01%E +4.70%K +6.25%G +1.19%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:04
BetOnline.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +19.01%E +4.70%K +6.25%G +1.19%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:04
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +18.12%E +4.52%K +6.02%G +1.09%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 18:05
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +17.83%E +4.46%K +5.94%G +1.06%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:09
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +16.35%E +4.14%K +5.54%G +0.907%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:10
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +15.47%E +3.95%K +5.30%G +0.820%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 17:59
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +14.88%E +3.82%K +5.13%G +0.764%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:00
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +13.41%E +3.48%K +4.70%G +0.631%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -11.82%E -9.46%K -47.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:00
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV +13.41%E +3.48%K +4.70%G +0.631%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -12.53%E -10.10%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 18:00
Pinnacle3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +7.81%E +2.13%K +2.94%G +0.229%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 18:20
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:09
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +6.04%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.141%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:00
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:19
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:20
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.10%E +0.885%K +1.24%G +0.038%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.29%E -6.38%K -27.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:00
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +0.153%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -11.12%E -8.82%K -42.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 18:12
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:14
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:19
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:19
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:19
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:19
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:20
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:19
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:19
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:20
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:19
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -6.33%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -9.00%E -6.98%K -31.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 18:19
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:20
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 18:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:20
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:19
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:20
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.88%E -5.21%K -21.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:20
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:20
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.16%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.59%E -5.79%K -24.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:19
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:19
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.18%E -4.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -13.10%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:20
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.58%E -5.03%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.65%E -1.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:18
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.16%E -5.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 18:19
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:20
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -17.52%E -6.26%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.24%E -0.885%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-08 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-03-08 18:20
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-03-08 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-08 18:20
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-03-08 18:19
Novig3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%6.5%2026-03-08 18:18