Language:English
Arthur Fils v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prediction 39.47%2.53fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.890%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.45%39.35%41.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.422.5044.44%41.28%41.32%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 60.53%1.65fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.75%60.55%60.65%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.561.6265.79%63.83%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fils (Local): 39.47%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 60.53%. For Arthur Fils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 07:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.73%E -0.695%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.73%E -0.695%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.12%E -0.857%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -7.99%E -5.26%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 04:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.68%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.86%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 04:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 04:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.65%E -3.27%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 06:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.44%E -3.64%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |