L’École des cotes

Arthur Fils v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prévision 39.47%2.53cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.890%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%39.45%39.35%41.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.422.5044.44%41.28%41.32%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.53%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.75%60.55%60.65%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.571.561.6265.79%63.83%64.10%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 07:10
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.73%E -0.695%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:14
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.73%E -0.695%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:15
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.12%E -0.857%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 13:20
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 17:20
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 17:30
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 12:45
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 15:20
SportsBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:30
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -7.99%E -5.26%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 13:20
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 15:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:50
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 16:40
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 04:29
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 17:55
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 12:50
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 17:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 03:24
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 13:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:30
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.68%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 17:34
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.86%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 04:29
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 12:45
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 13:15
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 10:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 04:30
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:20
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.65%E -3.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 06:10
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.44%E -3.64%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:45
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:20
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 13:15
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 13:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-03-12 17:55
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-12 17:50
Novig2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%1.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-03-12 17:55