Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Fils v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Fils (Local)

Previsão 39.47%2.53odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -0.890%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.97%39.45%39.35%41.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.422.5044.44%41.28%41.32%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 60.53%1.65odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -3.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.75%60.55%60.65%62.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.571.561.6265.79%63.83%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arthur Fils (Local): 39.47%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 60.53%. Para Arthur Fils (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.53. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.50, com valor esperado de -1.34%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 13:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 07:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.73%E -0.695%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.73%E -0.695%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:15
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.12%E -0.857%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 13:20
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 17:20
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 12:45
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 15:20
SportsBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -7.99%E -5.26%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 13:20
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 04:29
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 17:55
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 17:10
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 03:24
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.68%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 17:34
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.86%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 04:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 12:45
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 13:15
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 04:30
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:20
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.65%E -3.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 06:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.44%E -3.64%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:45
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:20
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 13:15
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 13:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-03-12 17:55
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-12 17:50
Novig2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%1.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-03-12 17:55