La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Fils v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fils (Local)
Predicción 39.47%2.53momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.890%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.45%39.35%41.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.422.5044.44%41.28%41.32%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 60.53%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.75%60.55%60.65%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.571.561.6265.79%63.83%64.10%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 07:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.73%E -0.695%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.73%E -0.695%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.12%E -0.857%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -7.99%E -5.26%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 13:20 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 04:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 12:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.68%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:34 |
| GTbets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.86%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 04:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 04:30 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.65%E -3.27%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 06:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.44%E -3.64%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 13:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Novig | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |