Language:English
Alexander Shevchenko v Sho Shimabukuro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Shevchenko (Local)
Prediction 39.52%2.53fair odd
EV +18.57%
Edge +6.19%
Kelly +9.29%
Growth +1.73%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%39.18%39.59%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.323.0046.51%42.65%43.10%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sho Shimabukuro (Visit)
Prediction 60.48%1.65fair odd
EV +2.20%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +3.19%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%60.82%60.41%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.581.601.6973.53%63.31%62.50%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 39.52%; Sho Shimabukuro (Visit): 60.48%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +18.57%E +6.19%K +9.29%G +1.73% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -17.75%E -13.05%K -49.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +10.67%E +3.81%K +5.93%G +0.632% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -15.33%E -10.95%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV +3.55%E +1.36%K +2.19%G +0.078% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.76%E +1.06%K +1.73%G +0.048% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.08%E -5.31%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -12.31%E -8.49%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 19:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.84%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.54%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -9.89%E -6.64%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV +1.60%E +0.951%K +2.35%G +0.038% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 19:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -0.821%E -0.500%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 19:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:07 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -10.28%E -4.53%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -0.821%E -0.500%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 19:02 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -11.86%E -5.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.05%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.05%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +2.20%E +1.30%K +3.19%G +0.070% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |