مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexander Shevchenko v Sho Shimabukuro

البداية: 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.52%2.53السعر العادل
EV +18.57%
الأفضلية +6.19%
Kelly +9.29%
النمو +1.73%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.19%39.18%39.59%44.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.342.323.0046.51%42.65%43.10%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sho Shimabukuro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.48%1.65السعر العادل
EV +2.20%
الأفضلية +1.30%
Kelly +3.19%
النمو +0.070%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.99%60.82%60.41%68.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.581.601.6973.53%63.31%62.50%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +18.57%E +6.19%K +9.29%G +1.73%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -17.75%E -13.05%K -49.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:18
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +10.67%E +3.81%K +5.93%G +0.632%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -15.33%E -10.95%K -38.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:20
DraftKings2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV +3.55%E +1.36%K +2.19%G +0.078%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.76%E +1.06%K +1.73%G +0.048%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.08%E -5.31%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:15
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -12.31%E -8.49%K -27.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 19:18
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.84%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 19:20
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:19
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.54%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:08
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 19:08
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 19:08
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -9.89%E -6.64%K -20.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.77%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV +1.60%E +0.951%K +2.35%G +0.038%2.8%2026-03-05 19:13
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:04
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:20
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -0.821%E -0.500%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:03
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:04
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:07
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -10.28%E -4.53%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:01
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:04
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -0.821%E -0.500%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:02
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:08
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:04
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -11.86%E -5.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.05%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:08
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.05%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 19:08
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +2.20%E +1.30%K +3.19%G +0.070%5.7%2026-03-05 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%6.2%2026-03-05 19:20