L’École des cotes

Alexander Shevchenko v Sho Shimabukuro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Prévision 39.52%2.53cote équitable
EV +18.57%
Avantage +6.19%
Kelly +9.29%
Croissance +1.73%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%39.18%39.59%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.323.0046.51%42.65%43.10%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sho Shimabukuro (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.48%1.65cote équitable
EV +2.20%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +3.19%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%60.82%60.41%68.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.581.601.6973.53%63.31%62.50%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +18.57%E +6.19%K +9.29%G +1.73%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -17.75%E -13.05%K -49.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:18
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +10.67%E +3.81%K +5.93%G +0.632%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -15.33%E -10.95%K -38.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:20
DraftKings2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV +3.55%E +1.36%K +2.19%G +0.078%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.76%E +1.06%K +1.73%G +0.048%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.08%E -5.31%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:15
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -12.31%E -8.49%K -27.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 19:18
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.84%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 19:20
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:19
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.54%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:08
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 19:08
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 19:08
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -9.89%E -6.64%K -20.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.77%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV +1.60%E +0.951%K +2.35%G +0.038%2.8%2026-03-05 19:13
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:04
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:20
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -0.821%E -0.500%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:03
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:04
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:07
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -10.28%E -4.53%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:01
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:04
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -0.821%E -0.500%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:02
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:08
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:04
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -11.86%E -5.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.05%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:08
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.05%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 19:08
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +2.20%E +1.30%K +3.19%G +0.070%5.7%2026-03-05 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%6.2%2026-03-05 19:20