La scuola delle quote

Alexander Shevchenko v Sho Shimabukuro

Inizio: 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (Casa)

Previsione 39.52%2.53quota equa
EV +18.57%
Vantaggio +6.19%
Kelly +9.29%
Crescita +1.73%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.19%39.18%39.59%44.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.342.323.0046.51%42.65%43.10%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sho Shimabukuro (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.48%1.65quota equa
EV +2.20%
Vantaggio +1.30%
Kelly +3.19%
Crescita +0.070%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.99%60.82%60.41%68.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.581.601.6973.53%63.31%62.50%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +18.57%E +6.19%K +9.29%G +1.73%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -17.75%E -13.05%K -49.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:18
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +10.67%E +3.81%K +5.93%G +0.632%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -15.33%E -10.95%K -38.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:20
DraftKings2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV +3.55%E +1.36%K +2.19%G +0.078%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.76%E +1.06%K +1.73%G +0.048%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.08%E -5.31%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.19%E -0.475%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:15
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -12.31%E -8.49%K -27.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 19:18
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.84%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 19:20
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:19
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.54%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:08
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 19:08
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 19:08
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -9.89%E -6.64%K -20.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.63%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.77%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV +1.60%E +0.951%K +2.35%G +0.038%2.8%2026-03-05 19:13
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:04
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:20
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -0.821%E -0.500%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:03
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:04
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:07
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.88%E -4.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -10.28%E -4.53%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:01
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:04
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -0.821%E -0.500%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:02
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:08
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:04
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -11.86%E -5.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.05%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:08
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.05%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 19:08
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +2.20%E +1.30%K +3.19%G +0.070%5.7%2026-03-05 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -15.02%E -6.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.216%E -0.131%K -0.332%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%6.2%2026-03-05 19:20