Language:English
Alexander Shevchenko v Casper Ruud
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Shevchenko (Local)
Prediction 12.45%8.03fair odd
EV +44.40%
Edge +3.83%
Kelly +4.19%
Growth +1.86%
assuming max odds 11.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.37%13.46%11.80%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.007.188.0011.60100.00%13.92%12.50%8.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Casper Ruud (Visit)
Prediction 87.55%1.14fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +2.81%
Kelly +18.40%
Growth +0.609%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%86.54%88.20%91.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.091.071.18100.00%91.35%93.46%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 12.45%; Casper Ruud (Visit): 87.55%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.03. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +44.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +44.40%E +3.83%K +4.19%G +1.86% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +36.93%E +3.36%K +3.69%G +1.36% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +24.48%E +2.45%K +2.72%G +0.666% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +12.03%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.181% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.03%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.181% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV +9.54%E +1.08%K +1.22%G +0.117% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.52%EV -9.82%E -9.54%K -327.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +8.92%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.103% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:22 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -8.95%E -8.60%K -223.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 19:22 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.53%E -0.455%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -19.09%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV -32.28%E -5.93%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV +3.31%E +2.81%K +18.40%G +0.609% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -34.02%E -6.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV +1.56%E +1.34%K +9.75%G +0.152% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -34.65%E -6.60%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -0.191%E -0.167%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -37.14%E -7.35%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV +1.56%E +1.34%K +9.75%G +0.152% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -38.38%E -7.75%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV +3.31%E +2.81%K +18.40%G +0.609% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -39.00%E -7.96%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -39.63%E -8.17%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -41.49%E -8.83%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -43.98%E -9.77%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -43.98%E -9.77%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -45.23%E -10.28%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 19:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -87.55%E -87.55%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -12.45%E -12.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.52% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.48% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |