A Escola das Odds

Alexander Shevchenko v Casper Ruud

Início: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Previsão 12.45%8.03odd justa
EV +44.40%
Vantagem +3.83%
Kelly +4.19%
Crescimento +1.86%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.37%13.46%11.80%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.007.188.0011.60100.00%13.92%12.50%8.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Casper Ruud (Visitante)

Previsão 87.55%1.14odd justa
EV +3.31%
Vantagem +2.81%
Kelly +18.40%
Crescimento +0.609%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%86.54%88.20%91.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.091.071.18100.00%91.35%93.46%84.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +44.40%E +3.83%K +4.19%G +1.86%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:24
Betway11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +36.93%E +3.36%K +3.69%G +1.36%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:19
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +24.48%E +2.45%K +2.72%G +0.666%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:21
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +12.03%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.181%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 19:19
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.03%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.181%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Fliff8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV +9.54%E +1.08%K +1.22%G +0.117%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.52%EV -9.82%E -9.54%K -327.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:21
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +8.92%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.103%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:24
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:24
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:25
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:24
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
NordicBet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:21
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:25
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:24
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:19
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:22
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:24
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Betclic (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -8.95%E -8.60%K -223.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:22
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.53%E -0.455%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:24
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:25
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:24
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:25
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -19.09%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Pinnacle5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV -32.28%E -5.93%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV +3.31%E +2.81%K +18.40%G +0.609%3.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -34.02%E -6.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV +1.56%E +1.34%K +9.75%G +0.152%5.1%2026-03-07 19:12
SportsBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -34.65%E -6.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -0.191%E -0.167%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:09
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.1%2026-03-07 19:03
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.1%2026-03-07 19:10
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.1%2026-03-07 19:09
GTbets5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -37.14%E -7.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.3%2026-03-07 19:05
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.5%2026-03-07 19:05
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.5%2026-03-07 19:05
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.5%2026-03-07 19:09
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV +1.56%E +1.34%K +9.75%G +0.152%6.2%2026-03-07 19:05
Coolbet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -38.38%E -7.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV +3.31%E +2.81%K +18.40%G +0.609%4.9%2026-03-07 19:09
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -39.00%E -7.96%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.9%2026-03-07 19:01
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -39.63%E -8.17%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%6.1%2026-03-07 19:09
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -41.49%E -8.83%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%6.7%2026-03-07 19:09
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -43.98%E -9.77%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%7.7%2026-03-07 19:06
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -43.98%E -9.77%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%7.7%2026-03-07 19:06
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -45.23%E -10.28%K -13.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%8.2%2026-03-07 19:08
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -87.55%E -87.55%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -12.45%E -12.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-07 19:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Novig11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-03-07 19:25
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%1.7%2026-03-07 19:25
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.52%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.48%2.2%2026-03-07 19:25