La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Shevchenko v Casper Ruud
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Shevchenko (Local)
Predicción 12.45%8.03momio equitativo
EV +44.40%
Ventaja +3.83%
Kelly +4.19%
Crecimiento +1.86%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.37%13.46%11.80%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.007.188.0011.60100.00%13.92%12.50%8.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casper Ruud (Visitante)
Predicción 87.55%1.14momio equitativo
EV +3.31%
Ventaja +2.81%
Kelly +18.40%
Crecimiento +0.609%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%86.54%88.20%91.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.091.071.18100.00%91.35%93.46%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +44.40%E +3.83%K +4.19%G +1.86% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Betway | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +36.93%E +3.36%K +3.69%G +1.36% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| BoyleSports | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +24.48%E +2.45%K +2.72%G +0.666% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:21 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +12.03%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.181% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| theScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.03%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.181% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Fliff | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV +9.54%E +1.08%K +1.22%G +0.117% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.52%EV -9.82%E -9.54%K -327.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:21 |
| Bovada | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +8.92%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.103% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Coral | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Casumo | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Unibet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| betPARX | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Betsson | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:21 |
| Bet Victor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| TABtouch | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:22 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| 888sport | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -8.95%E -8.60%K -223.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 19:22 |
| BetMGM | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.53%E -0.455%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Caesars | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -19.09%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV -32.28%E -5.93%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV +3.31%E +2.81%K +18.40%G +0.609% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -34.02%E -6.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV +1.56%E +1.34%K +9.75%G +0.152% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| SportsBet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -34.65%E -6.60%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -0.191%E -0.167%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:03 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| GTbets | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -37.14%E -7.35%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| BetUS | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV +1.56%E +1.34%K +9.75%G +0.152% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| Coolbet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -38.38%E -7.75%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV +3.31%E +2.81%K +18.40%G +0.609% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -39.00%E -7.96%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:01 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -39.63%E -8.17%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Bally Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -41.49%E -8.83%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -43.98%E -9.77%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -43.98%E -9.77%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -45.23%E -10.28%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 19:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -87.55%E -87.55%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -12.45%E -12.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Novig | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.52% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.48% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |