L’École des cotes

Alexander Shevchenko v Casper Ruud

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Prévision 12.45%8.03cote équitable
EV +44.40%
Avantage +3.83%
Kelly +4.19%
Croissance +1.86%

avec la cote maximale 11.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.37%13.46%11.80%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.007.188.0011.60100.00%13.92%12.50%8.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Casper Ruud (Visiteur)

Prévision 87.55%1.14cote équitable
EV +3.31%
Avantage +2.81%
Kelly +18.40%
Croissance +0.609%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%86.54%88.20%91.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.091.071.18100.00%91.35%93.46%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +44.40%E +3.83%K +4.19%G +1.86%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:24
Betway11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +36.93%E +3.36%K +3.69%G +1.36%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:19
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +24.48%E +2.45%K +2.72%G +0.666%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:21
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +12.03%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.181%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 19:19
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.03%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.181%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Fliff8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV +9.54%E +1.08%K +1.22%G +0.117%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.52%EV -9.82%E -9.54%K -327.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:21
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +8.92%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.103%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:24
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:24
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:25
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:24
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
NordicBet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:21
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.81%E +0.683%K +0.775%G +0.045%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:25
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.44%E -5.04%K -68.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:24
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:19
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:22
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:24
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Betclic (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -0.415%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -8.95%E -8.60%K -223.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:22
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.53%E -0.455%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:24
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:25
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.07%E -7.69%K -161.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:24
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:25
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -19.09%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Pinnacle5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV -32.28%E -5.93%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV +3.31%E +2.81%K +18.40%G +0.609%3.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -34.02%E -6.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV +1.56%E +1.34%K +9.75%G +0.152%5.1%2026-03-07 19:12
SportsBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -34.65%E -6.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -0.191%E -0.167%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:09
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.1%2026-03-07 19:03
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.1%2026-03-07 19:10
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -36.51%E -7.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.1%2026-03-07 19:09
GTbets5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -37.14%E -7.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.3%2026-03-07 19:05
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.5%2026-03-07 19:05
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.5%2026-03-07 19:05
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.5%2026-03-07 19:09
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -37.76%E -7.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV +1.56%E +1.34%K +9.75%G +0.152%6.2%2026-03-07 19:05
Coolbet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -38.38%E -7.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV +3.31%E +2.81%K +18.40%G +0.609%4.9%2026-03-07 19:09
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -39.00%E -7.96%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%5.9%2026-03-07 19:01
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -39.63%E -8.17%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%6.1%2026-03-07 19:09
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -41.49%E -8.83%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%6.7%2026-03-07 19:09
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -43.98%E -9.77%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%7.7%2026-03-07 19:06
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -43.98%E -9.77%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%7.7%2026-03-07 19:06
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -45.23%E -10.28%K -13.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV +2.44%E +2.08%K +14.33%G +0.349%8.2%2026-03-07 19:08
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -87.55%E -87.55%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -12.45%E -12.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-07 19:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Novig11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-03-07 19:25
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%1.7%2026-03-07 19:25
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.52%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.48%2.2%2026-03-07 19:25