Language:English
Alexander Bublik v Rinky Hijikata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Prediction 78.49%1.27fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -11.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.91%78.46%78.57%80.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.67%82.30%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rinky Hijikata (Visit)
Prediction 21.51%4.65fair odd
EV +3.67%
Edge +0.762%
Kelly +0.961%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 4.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.66%21.54%21.43%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.404.8225.00%22.85%22.73%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Bublik (Local): 78.49%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 21.51%. For Rinky Hijikata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +3.67%E +0.762%K +0.961%G +0.035% | 2.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.74%E -8.47%K -64.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +1.09%E +0.232%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 19:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.52%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.48%EV +0.231%E +0.050%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +0.016%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.06%E -0.230%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 19:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.38%E -6.25%K -41.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.06%E -0.230%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 19:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.00%E -0.664%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.00%E -0.664%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.46%E -2.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.38%E -6.25%K -41.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.44%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.59%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -2.67%E -2.15%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -11.17%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.46%E -2.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.96%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.96%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 19:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 2.6% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |