A Escola das Odds

Alexander Bublik v Rinky Hijikata

Início: 2026-03-09 20:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexander Bublik (Local)

Previsão 78.49%1.27odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -2.15%
Kelly -11.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.91%78.46%78.57%80.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.67%82.30%80.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rinky Hijikata (Visitante)

Previsão 21.51%4.65odd justa
EV +3.67%
Vantagem +0.762%
Kelly +0.961%
Crescimento +0.035%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.66%21.54%21.43%23.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.384.404.8225.00%22.85%22.73%20.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +3.67%E +0.762%K +0.961%G +0.035%2.7%2026-03-09 19:35
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013%3.0%2026-03-09 19:35
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013%4.4%2026-03-09 19:35
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013%5.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.74%E -8.47%K -64.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +1.09%E +0.232%K +0.295%G +0.003%8.2%2026-03-09 19:38
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.52%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.48%EV +0.231%E +0.050%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:40
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +0.016%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:34
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.06%E -0.230%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 19:54
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.38%E -6.25%K -41.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.06%E -0.230%K -0.294%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 19:49
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.00%E -0.664%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:35
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.00%E -0.664%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.46%E -2.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 19:35
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 19:35
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:39
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:35
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:34
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:34
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.38%E -6.25%K -41.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 19:34
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 20:00
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:35
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:35
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 19:34
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.44%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 20:00
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:04
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.59%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 19:40
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 20:00
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 20:00
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:34
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:35
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:35
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 20:00
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -2.67%E -2.15%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -11.17%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 20:05
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.46%E -2.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 20:05
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.96%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 20:00
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.96%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 19:31
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-03-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 20:05
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 20:05
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-03-09 20:05