La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Bublik v Rinky Hijikata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Predicción 78.49%1.27momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -2.15%
Kelly -11.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.91%78.46%78.57%80.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.67%82.30%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rinky Hijikata (Visitante)
Predicción 21.51%4.65momio equitativo
EV +3.67%
Ventaja +0.762%
Kelly +0.961%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.66%21.54%21.43%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.384.404.8225.00%22.85%22.73%20.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +3.67%E +0.762%K +0.961%G +0.035% | 2.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.74%E -8.47%K -64.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +1.09%E +0.232%K +0.295%G +0.003% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 19:38 |
| GTbets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.52%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.48%EV +0.231%E +0.050%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +0.016%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.06%E -0.230%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 19:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.38%E -6.25%K -41.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.06%E -0.230%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 19:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.00%E -0.664%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.00%E -0.664%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.46%E -2.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.38%E -6.25%K -41.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.44%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.59%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -2.67%E -2.15%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -11.17%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.46%E -2.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.96%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.96%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 19:31 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Novig | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 2.6% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |