StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Bublik v Rinky Hijikata

Matchstart: 2026-03-09 20:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Bublik (Hemma)

Prognos 78.49%1.27rättvist odds
EV -2.67%
Fördel -2.15%
Kelly -11.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.91%78.46%78.57%80.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.67%82.30%80.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rinky Hijikata (Borta)

Prognos 21.51%4.65rättvist odds
EV +3.67%
Fördel +0.762%
Kelly +0.961%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.66%21.54%21.43%23.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.384.404.8225.00%22.85%22.73%20.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Bublik (Hemma): 78.49%; Rinky Hijikata (Borta): 21.51%. För Rinky Hijikata (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.65. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.82, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.67%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +3.67%E +0.762%K +0.961%G +0.035%2.7%2026-03-09 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013%3.0%2026-03-09 19:35
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013%4.4%2026-03-09 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +2.17%E +0.456%K +0.578%G +0.013%5.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.74%E -8.47%K -64.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +1.09%E +0.232%K +0.295%G +0.003%8.2%2026-03-09 19:38
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.52%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.48%EV +0.231%E +0.050%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +0.016%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.06%E -0.230%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.38%E -6.25%K -41.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.06%E -0.230%K -0.294%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.00%E -0.664%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.00%E -0.664%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.46%E -2.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 19:35
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:39
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:34
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.38%E -6.25%K -41.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.21%E -0.713%K -0.917%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 20:00
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:35
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 19:34
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.36%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.44%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.59%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 20:00
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 20:00
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:34
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:35
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.66%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 20:00
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -2.67%E -2.15%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -11.17%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.46%E -2.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.24%E -3.48%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.81%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.96%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.81%E -4.84%K -29.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.96%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 19:31
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-03-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 20:05
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 20:05
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-03-09 20:05