默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Adam Walton v Learner Tien

开赛时间: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Adam Walton (主队)

预测 18.34%5.45公平赔率
EV +6.38%
优势 +1.10%
Kelly +1.33%
增长率 +0.085%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
16.43%18.34%18.30%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.185.105.8021.05%19.30%19.61%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Learner Tien (客队)

预测 81.66%1.22公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -10.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.20

博彩公司预测分布
80.00%81.66%81.70%83.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.161.161.2088.50%86.02%86.21%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Adam Walton (主队):18.34%;Learner Tien (客队):81.66%。 对于“Adam Walton (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.45。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.80,对应+6.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +6.38%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.085%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 15:55
Pinnacle🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.83%EV +6.01%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.17%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 18:31
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.54%E +0.797%K +0.967%G +0.044%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 15:55
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:15
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:04
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 15:55
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:36
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
Everygame🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:55
DraftKings🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +0.141%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:03
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.79%E -0.527%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:15
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:15
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 18:05
GTbets🎯5.23I 19.12%NM 18.15%EV -4.08%E -0.780%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.85%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:10
Betsson🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:10
NordicBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:06
Fanatics🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 15:56
Betclic (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:48
NetBet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 10:59
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Bally Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:01
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:01
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Fliff🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 16:15
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.38%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 18:50
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 15:10
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:05
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 18:54
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 15:11
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.05%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 15:10
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.01%E -1.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 07:10
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 16:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 16.69%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.31%0.0%2026-03-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:15
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-03-06 18:06