Школа коэффициентов

Adam Walton v Learner Tien

Начало: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

60 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Adam Walton (Хозяева)

Прогноз 18.34%5.45справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.38%
Преимущество +1.10%
Kelly +1.33%
Рост +0.085%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.43%18.34%18.30%20.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.755.185.105.8021.05%19.30%19.61%17.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Learner Tien (Гости)

Прогноз 81.66%1.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.01%
Преимущество -1.67%
Kelly -10.04%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
80.00%81.66%81.70%83.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.131.161.161.2088.50%86.02%86.21%83.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (60 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +6.38%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.085%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 15:55
Pinnacle5.78I 17.30%NM 16.83%EV +6.01%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.17%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 18:31
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.54%E +0.797%K +0.967%G +0.044%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 15:55
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 15:55
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:15
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:04
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 15:55
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:36
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:55
DraftKings5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +0.141%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 14:45
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:05
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:03
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.79%E -0.527%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 15:05
Marathon Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:15
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:15
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 18:05
GTbets5.23I 19.12%NM 18.15%EV -4.08%E -0.780%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.85%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:10
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:10
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:06
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:05
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 15:56
Betclic (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:48
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 10:59
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:01
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:01
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 16:15
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.38%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 18:50
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 15:10
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 15:10
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:05
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:55
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 18:54
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 15:11
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.05%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 15:10
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.01%E -1.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 07:10
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:10
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 16:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 16.69%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.31%0.0%2026-03-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:15
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-03-06 18:06