La scuola delle quote

Adam Walton v Learner Tien

Inizio: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adam Walton (Casa)

Previsione 18.34%5.45quota equa
EV +6.38%
Vantaggio +1.10%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescita +0.085%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.43%18.34%18.30%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.185.105.8021.05%19.30%19.61%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 81.66%1.22quota equa
EV -2.01%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -10.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
80.00%81.66%81.70%83.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.161.161.2088.50%86.02%86.21%83.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +6.38%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.085%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 15:55
Pinnacle5.78I 17.30%NM 16.83%EV +6.01%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.17%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 18:31
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.54%E +0.797%K +0.967%G +0.044%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 15:55
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 15:55
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:15
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:04
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 15:55
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:36
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:55
DraftKings5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +0.141%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 14:45
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:05
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:03
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.79%E -0.527%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 15:05
Marathon Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:15
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:15
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 18:05
GTbets5.23I 19.12%NM 18.15%EV -4.08%E -0.780%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.85%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:10
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:10
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:06
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:05
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 15:56
Betclic (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:48
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 10:59
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:01
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:01
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 16:15
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.38%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 18:50
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 15:10
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 15:10
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:05
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:55
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 18:54
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 15:11
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.05%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 15:10
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.01%E -1.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 07:10
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:10
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 16:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 16.69%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.31%0.0%2026-03-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:15
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-03-06 18:06