مدرسة الاحتمالات

Adam Walton v Learner Tien

البداية: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Adam Walton (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.34%5.45السعر العادل
EV +6.38%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +1.33%
النمو +0.085%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.43%18.34%18.30%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.755.185.105.8021.05%19.30%19.61%17.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Learner Tien (الضيف)

التنبؤ 81.66%1.22السعر العادل
EV -2.01%
الأفضلية -1.67%
Kelly -10.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.00%81.66%81.70%83.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.161.161.2088.50%86.02%86.21%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +6.38%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.085%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 15:55
Pinnacle5.78I 17.30%NM 16.83%EV +6.01%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.17%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 18:31
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.54%E +0.797%K +0.967%G +0.044%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 15:55
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 15:55
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:15
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:04
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 15:55
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:36
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:35
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 18:55
DraftKings5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +0.141%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 14:45
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:05
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 18:03
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.79%E -0.527%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 15:05
Marathon Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:15
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:15
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 18:05
GTbets5.23I 19.12%NM 18.15%EV -4.08%E -0.780%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.85%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:10
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:10
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:06
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 15:05
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 15:56
Betclic (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:48
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 10:59
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:01
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:01
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 11:00
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 16:15
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.38%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 18:50
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 15:10
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 15:10
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:05
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:55
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 18:54
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 15:11
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.05%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 15:10
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.01%E -1.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 07:10
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:10
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 16:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 16.69%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.31%0.0%2026-03-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:20
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-06 13:15
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-03-06 18:06