La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Adam Walton v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adam Walton (Local)
Predicción 18.34%5.45momio equitativo
EV +6.38%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.085%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.43%18.34%18.30%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.185.105.8021.05%19.30%19.61%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 81.66%1.22momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -10.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.00%81.66%81.70%83.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.2088.50%86.02%86.21%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +6.38%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.085% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 15:55 |
| Pinnacle | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.83%EV +6.01%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.17%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 18:31 |
| FanDuel | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.54%E +0.797%K +0.967%G +0.044% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 15:55 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:15 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 18:04 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 15:55 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 18:36 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 18:35 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.874%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.91%E -6.06%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +0.141%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.409%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 18:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.79%E -0.527%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 16:15 |
| BetUS | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 18:05 |
| GTbets | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.15%EV -4.08%E -0.780%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.85%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Betsson | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| NordicBet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 15:06 |
| Fanatics | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 15:56 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 18:48 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 10:59 |
| TABtouch | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Bally Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:01 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Fliff | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.38%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.64%E -3.09%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 18:05 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 18:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 11:45 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 18:54 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.73%E -6.84%K -59.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 15:11 |
| theScore Bet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.05%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| BoyleSports | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.01%E -1.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 07:10 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.46%E -3.81%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.28%E -4.55%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 18:55 |
| Neds | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.96%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 18:55 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.09%E -5.30%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.69% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.31% | 0.0% | 2026-03-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 13:15 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 18:06 |