La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Luciano Darderi v Roman Andres Burruchaga
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luciano Darderi (Casa)
Previsione 64.16%1.56quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -3.46%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.54%64.17%64.19%65.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.471.461.5371.43%67.96%68.49%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.84%2.79quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.524%
Kelly -0.824%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.15%35.83%35.81%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.632.652.7541.67%38.07%37.74%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -7.18%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.46%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| ReBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.68%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -8.25%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -7.89%E -3.07%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.10%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.53%E -2.92%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.18%E -7.27%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |