La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Luciano Darderi v Roman Andres Burruchaga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Predicción 64.16%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -3.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%64.17%64.19%65.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.461.5371.43%67.96%68.49%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante)
Predicción 35.84%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.524%
Kelly -0.824%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%35.83%35.81%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.632.652.7541.67%38.07%37.74%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -7.18%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.46%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| ReBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.68%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -8.25%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -7.89%E -3.07%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.10%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.53%E -2.92%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.18%E -7.27%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |