Langue:Français
Luciano Darderi v Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prévision 64.16%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -3.46%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%64.17%64.19%65.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.461.5371.43%67.96%68.49%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.84%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.524%
Kelly -0.824%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.15%35.83%35.81%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.652.7541.67%38.07%37.74%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Luciano Darderi (Local) : 64.16% ; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visiteur) : 35.84%. Pour Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.79. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.75, pour une espérance de -1.44% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -7.18%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.46%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.68%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -8.25%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -7.89%E -3.07%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.10%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.53%E -2.92%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.18%E -7.27%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |