L’École des cotes

Luciano Darderi v Roman Andres Burruchaga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Luciano Darderi (Local)

Prévision 64.16%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -3.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%64.17%64.19%65.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.461.5371.43%67.96%68.49%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.84%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.524%
Kelly -0.824%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.15%35.83%35.81%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.652.7541.67%38.07%37.74%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 10:50
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 10:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 10:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -7.18%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 10:50
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 10:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 10:50
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 10:50
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 10:50
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 10:50
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -9.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 10:50
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 10:50
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.46%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 10:49
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 10:50
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 10:50
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 10:50
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 10:50
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 10:50
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 10:50
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.68%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -8.25%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 10:50
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 10:50
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 10:50
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 10:50
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -7.89%E -3.07%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 10:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.10%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.53%E -2.92%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 10:49
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 10:50
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 10:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.18%E -7.27%K -25.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-05-19 10:49
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-05-19 10:50