مدرسة الاحتمالات

Luciano Darderi v Roman Andres Burruchaga

البداية: 2026-05-19 11:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Luciano Darderi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.16%1.56السعر العادل
EV -1.83%
الأفضلية -1.20%
Kelly -3.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.54%64.17%64.19%65.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.471.461.5371.43%67.96%68.49%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Roman Andres Burruchaga (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.84%2.79السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -0.524%
Kelly -0.824%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.15%35.83%35.81%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.632.652.7541.67%38.07%37.74%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 10:50
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 10:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 10:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -7.18%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 10:50
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 10:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 10:50
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 10:50
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 10:50
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 10:50
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -9.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 10:50
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 10:50
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.46%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 10:50
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 10:49
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 10:50
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 10:50
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 10:50
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 10:50
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 10:50
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 10:50
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.68%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -8.25%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.33%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 10:50
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 10:50
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 10:50
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 10:50
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 10:50
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -7.89%E -3.07%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 10:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.10%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.53%E -2.92%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 10:49
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 10:50
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.74%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 10:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.18%E -7.27%K -25.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 10:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-19 10:50
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-05-19 10:49
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-05-19 10:50