A Escola das Odds

Justin Engel v Ugo Humbert

Início: 2026-05-19 13:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Justin Engel (Local)

Previsão 25.09%3.99odd justa
EV +1.63%
Vantagem +0.402%
Kelly +0.534%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.44%25.04%25.02%26.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.733.754.0528.57%26.83%26.70%24.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ugo Humbert (Visitante)

Previsão 74.91%1.34odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -6.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.20%74.96%74.98%76.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.261.261.3181.97%79.14%79.37%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +1.63%E +0.402%K +0.534%G +0.009%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 13:40
DraftKings4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +1.63%E +0.402%K +0.534%G +0.009%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.38%E +0.341%K +0.454%G +0.006%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 13:40
BetOnline.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.38%E +0.341%K +0.454%G +0.006%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.375%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:40
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.375%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Pinnacle3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -0.880%E -0.223%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 13:40
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 13:40
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.39%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 13:35
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.64%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 13:39
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
ReBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:34
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 13:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 13:37
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 13:40
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 13:40
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.87%E -6.39%K -34.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:33
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:40
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:34
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:35
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -1.87%E -1.43%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 13:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:35
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 13:40
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:40
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 13:28
Betclic (FR)3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -10.16%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 13:37
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:40
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:39
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Novig4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%3.3%2026-05-19 13:40