L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Justin Engel v Ugo Humbert
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Justin Engel (Local)
Prévision 25.09%3.99cote équitable
EV +1.63%
Avantage +0.402%
Kelly +0.534%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 4.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.44%25.04%25.02%26.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.754.0528.57%26.83%26.70%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ugo Humbert (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.91%1.34cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -6.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.20%74.96%74.98%76.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.261.3181.97%79.14%79.37%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +1.63%E +0.402%K +0.534%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +1.63%E +0.402%K +0.534%G +0.009% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.38%E +0.341%K +0.454%G +0.006% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.38%E +0.341%K +0.454%G +0.006% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.375%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.375%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -0.880%E -0.223%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.39%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-19 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.64%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 13:39 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| ReBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:34 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 13:37 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.87%E -6.39%K -34.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 13:33 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 13:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 13:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -1.87%E -1.43%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 13:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -10.16%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 13:37 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-19 13:39 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Novig | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22% | 3.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |