Szkoła Kursów

Justin Engel v Ugo Humbert

Początek: 2026-05-19 13:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Justin Engel (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 25.09%3.99kurs godziwy
EV +1.63%
Przewaga +0.402%
Kelly +0.534%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.44%25.04%25.02%26.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.733.754.0528.57%26.83%26.70%24.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ugo Humbert (Goście)

Prognoza 74.91%1.34kurs godziwy
EV -1.87%
Przewaga -1.43%
Kelly -6.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.20%74.96%74.98%76.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.261.261.3181.97%79.14%79.37%76.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetAnything4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +1.63%E +0.402%K +0.534%G +0.009%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 13:40
DraftKings4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +1.63%E +0.402%K +0.534%G +0.009%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.38%E +0.341%K +0.454%G +0.006%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 13:40
BetOnline.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.38%E +0.341%K +0.454%G +0.006%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.375%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:40
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.375%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Pinnacle3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -0.880%E -0.223%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 13:40
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 13:40
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.39%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 13:35
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.64%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 13:39
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
ReBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:34
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 13:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 13:37
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 13:40
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 13:40
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.87%E -6.39%K -34.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:33
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:40
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:34
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:35
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -1.87%E -1.43%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 13:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:35
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 13:40
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:40
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 13:28
Betclic (FR)3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -10.16%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 13:37
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:40
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:39
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Novig4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%3.3%2026-05-19 13:40