Idioma:Español
Justin Engel v Ugo Humbert
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Justin Engel (Local)
Predicción 25.09%3.99momio equitativo
EV +1.63%
Ventaja +0.402%
Kelly +0.534%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.44%25.04%25.02%26.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.733.754.0528.57%26.83%26.70%24.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ugo Humbert (Visitante)
Predicción 74.91%1.34momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -6.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.20%74.96%74.98%76.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.261.261.3181.97%79.14%79.37%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Justin Engel (Local): 25.09%; Ugo Humbert (Visitante): 74.91%. Para Justin Engel (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.99. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.63%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +1.63%E +0.402%K +0.534%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +1.63%E +0.402%K +0.534%G +0.009% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.38%E +0.341%K +0.454%G +0.006% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.38%E +0.341%K +0.454%G +0.006% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.375%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.375%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -0.880%E -0.223%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.39%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-19 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.64%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 13:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 13:37 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.87%E -6.39%K -34.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 13:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 13:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.62%E -4.46%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -1.87%E -1.43%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.37%E -2.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.12%E -3.22%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.87%E -3.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 13:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -10.16%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.61%E -7.06%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 13:37 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.62%E -2.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.37%E -5.09%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-19 13:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.12%E -5.74%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22% | 3.3% | 2026-05-19 13:40 |