Szkoła Kursów

Ignacio Buse v Ugo Humbert

Początek: 2026-05-21 11:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ignacio Buse (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 72.46%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -1.46%
Przewaga -1.07%
Kelly -4.05%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.36

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.28%72.22%72.56%74.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.271.321.311.3678.74%75.94%76.34%73.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ugo Humbert (Goście)

Prognoza 27.54%3.63kurs godziwy
EV +3.29%
Przewaga +0.876%
Kelly +1.19%
Wzrost +0.039%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.45%27.78%27.44%30.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.953.313.303.7533.90%30.20%30.30%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +3.29%E +0.876%K +1.19%G +0.039%4.8%2026-05-21 09:58
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.531%E +0.146%K +0.201%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-21 10:00
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.846%E -0.235%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 10:00
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.22%E -0.626%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.22%E -0.626%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 10:10
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 09:59
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 10:00
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 09:59
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 10:10
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:00
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 10:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 10:00
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 10:09
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 10:00
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.80%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 09:59
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:00
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:09
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:09
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:00
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:00
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 10:08
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 10:10
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 10:10
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -7.46%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 10:07
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 10:10
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 09:50
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 10:00
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 10:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 09:59
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 10:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 10:10
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 10:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 10:00
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 10:10
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 10:10
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 10:10
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 09:58
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 10:00
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.18%E -1.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 10:10
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 10:10
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.34%EV -16.55%E -5.46%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 10:10
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 10:10
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -18.75%E -6.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-21 10:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-21 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-21 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-21 10:00
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-21 10:10
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%2.1%2026-05-21 10:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.2%2026-05-21 10:10