La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ignacio Buse v Ugo Humbert
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Predicción 72.46%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -4.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%72.22%72.56%74.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.311.3678.74%75.94%76.34%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ugo Humbert (Visitante)
Predicción 27.54%3.63momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.876%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.45%27.78%27.44%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.313.303.7533.90%30.20%30.30%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +3.29%E +0.876%K +1.19%G +0.039% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 09:58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.531%E +0.146%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.846%E -0.235%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.22%E -0.626%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.22%E -0.626%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 10:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.80%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:09 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 10:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -7.46%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-21 10:07 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 09:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Fliff | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-21 09:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.18%E -1.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.34%EV -16.55%E -5.46%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -18.75%E -6.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |