Die Wettquotenschule

Ignacio Buse v Ugo Humbert

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-21 11:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ignacio Buse (Heim)

Prognose 72.46%1.38faire Quote
EV -1.46%
Vorteil -1.07%
Kelly -4.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.28%72.22%72.56%74.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.271.321.311.3678.74%75.94%76.34%73.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Ugo Humbert (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.54%3.63faire Quote
EV +3.29%
Vorteil +0.876%
Kelly +1.19%
Wachstum +0.039%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.45%27.78%27.44%30.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.953.313.303.7533.90%30.20%30.30%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +3.29%E +0.876%K +1.19%G +0.039%4.8%2026-05-21 09:58
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.531%E +0.146%K +0.201%G +0.001%2.6%2026-05-21 10:00
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.846%E -0.235%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 10:00
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.22%E -0.626%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.22%E -0.626%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 10:10
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 09:59
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 10:00
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 09:59
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 10:10
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:00
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 10:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 10:00
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 10:09
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 10:00
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.80%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 09:59
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:00
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:09
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:09
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:00
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:00
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 10:08
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 10:10
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 10:10
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -7.46%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 10:07
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 10:10
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 09:50
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 10:00
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 10:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 09:59
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 10:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 10:10
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 10:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 10:00
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 10:10
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 10:10
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 10:10
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 09:58
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 10:00
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.18%E -1.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 10:10
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 10:10
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 10:10
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.34%EV -16.55%E -5.46%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 10:10
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 10:10
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -18.75%E -6.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-21 10:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-21 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-21 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-21 10:00
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-21 10:10
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%2.1%2026-05-21 10:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.2%2026-05-21 10:10