La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ignacio Buse v Ugo Humbert
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ignacio Buse (Casa)
Previsione 72.46%1.38quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -4.05%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.28%72.22%72.56%74.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.321.311.3678.74%75.94%76.34%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ugo Humbert (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.54%3.63quota equa
EV +3.29%
Vantaggio +0.876%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescita +0.039%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.45%27.78%27.44%30.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.313.303.7533.90%30.20%30.30%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +3.29%E +0.876%K +1.19%G +0.039% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 09:58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.531%E +0.146%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.846%E -0.235%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.22%E -0.626%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.22%E -0.626%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 10:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.80%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:09 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 10:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -7.46%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-21 10:07 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 09:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 09:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Fliff | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.25%E -5.67%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-21 09:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.24%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.46%E -1.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.18%E -1.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -15.99%E -5.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.34%EV -16.55%E -5.46%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -18.75%E -6.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 10:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |