StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Diego Dedura-Palomero v Frances Tiafoe

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 12:49 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Diego Dedura-Palomero (Hemma)

Prognos 30.05%3.33rättvist odds
EV +8.16%
Fördel +2.27%
Kelly +3.14%
Tillväxt +0.256%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.38%30.08%29.52%32.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.243.303.6035.71%30.86%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Borta)

Prognos 69.95%1.43rättvist odds
EV -0.665%
Fördel -0.468%
Kelly -1.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.06%69.92%70.48%73.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.281.341.331.4278.13%74.89%75.19%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Diego Dedura-Palomero (Hemma): 30.05%; Frances Tiafoe (Borta): 69.95%. För Diego Dedura-Palomero (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.33. 14 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.16%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 12:45
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 12:33
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +3.66%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -10.46%E -8.17%K -37.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +3.36%E +0.976%K +1.38%G +0.046%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.66%E -5.80%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +3.36%E +0.976%K +1.38%G +0.046%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.66%E -5.80%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 12:44
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 12:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 12:45
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 12:45
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 12:45
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 12:34
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 12:33
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:45
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:45
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:45
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:45
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:45
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 12:45
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 12:45
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 12:36
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 12:45
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 12:45
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 12:41
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 12:34
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 12:45
DraftKings🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -6.56%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -0.665%E -0.468%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 12:38
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 12:45
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.37%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 12:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.665%E -0.468%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 12:45
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.46%E -2.51%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.37%E -5.04%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 12:44
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.37%E -5.04%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 12:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.87%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 12:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-17 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-17 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-17 12:45
Novig3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%2.3%2026-05-17 12:45