La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Diego Dedura-Palomero v Frances Tiafoe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Diego Dedura-Palomero (Local)
Predicción 30.05%3.33momio equitativo
EV +8.16%
Ventaja +2.27%
Kelly +3.14%
Crecimiento +0.256%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%30.08%29.52%32.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.243.303.6035.71%30.86%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)
Predicción 69.95%1.43momio equitativo
EV -0.665%
Ventaja -0.468%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.06%69.92%70.48%73.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.341.331.4278.13%74.89%75.19%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:33 |
| SportsBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +3.66%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -10.46%E -8.17%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +3.36%E +0.976%K +1.38%G +0.046% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.66%E -5.80%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +3.36%E +0.976%K +1.38%G +0.046% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.66%E -5.80%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:34 |
| ReBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 12:33 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:36 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:41 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 12:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -6.56%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -0.665%E -0.468%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 12:38 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.37%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.665%E -0.468%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.46%E -2.51%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.37%E -5.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.37%E -5.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.87%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Novig | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |