La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Diego Dedura-Palomero v Frances Tiafoe
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Diego Dedura-Palomero (Casa)
Previsione 30.05%3.33quota equa
EV +8.16%
Vantaggio +2.27%
Kelly +3.14%
Crescita +0.256%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.38%30.08%29.52%32.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.243.303.6035.71%30.86%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)
Previsione 69.95%1.43quota equa
EV -0.665%
Vantaggio -0.468%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.06%69.92%70.48%73.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.341.331.4278.13%74.89%75.19%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:33 |
| SportsBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +3.66%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -10.46%E -8.17%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +3.36%E +0.976%K +1.38%G +0.046% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.66%E -5.80%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +3.36%E +0.976%K +1.38%G +0.046% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.66%E -5.80%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:34 |
| ReBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 12:33 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:36 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:41 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 12:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -6.56%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -0.665%E -0.468%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 12:38 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.37%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.665%E -0.468%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.46%E -2.51%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.37%E -5.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.37%E -5.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.87%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Novig | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |