L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Diego Dedura-Palomero v Frances Tiafoe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Diego Dedura-Palomero (Local)
Prévision 30.05%3.33cote équitable
EV +8.16%
Avantage +2.27%
Kelly +3.14%
Croissance +0.256%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%30.08%29.52%32.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.243.303.6035.71%30.86%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 69.95%1.43cote équitable
EV -0.665%
Avantage -0.468%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.06%69.92%70.48%73.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.341.331.4278.13%74.89%75.19%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +8.16%E +2.27%K +3.14%G +0.256% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:33 |
| SportsBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +3.66%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -10.46%E -8.17%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +3.36%E +0.976%K +1.38%G +0.046% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.66%E -5.80%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +3.36%E +0.976%K +1.38%G +0.046% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.66%E -5.80%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.15%E +0.634%K +0.898%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.652%E +0.195%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 12:34 |
| ReBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 12:33 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.850%E -0.258%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:36 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.76%E -7.56%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:41 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 12:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -6.97%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -6.56%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -0.665%E -0.468%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 12:38 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.96%E -5.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.37%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 12:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.665%E -0.468%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.87%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.46%E -2.51%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.37%E -5.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.37%E -5.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.06%E -1.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 12:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.87%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |
| Novig | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 12:45 |