Language:English
Daniel Altmaier v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prediction 32.91%3.04fair odd
EV +5.32%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.129%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%32.84%32.87%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.903.2037.04%34.81%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 67.09%1.49fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%67.16%67.13%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.401.4674.07%70.89%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 32.91%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 67.09%. For Daniel Altmaier (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.43%E -6.99%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.53%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 16:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |